
Google's plan to release its own operating system based on its
Chrome browser is at once audacious and laughable. Microsoft
Windows represents slightly less than 90 percent of the personal
computer operating system market, a position it has held for
years.
Google's industry ally, Apple, has managed to steal a few
percentage points of market share away from Microsoft in the past
twelve years under the singular leadership of CEO Steve Jobs. But
Windows remains the dominant operating system, more dominant even
than Google is in search.
And with the forthcoming release of Windows 7, Microsoft appears
to be well-prepared to defend its empire.
It's hard to imagine a less promising business for Google to
enter, especially given that Google plans to give Chrome OS away
for free. And Google's grand plan to shake up the operating system
market isn't made more credible by the absence of any actual
programming code or substantive information about Chrome OS.
Yet, the fact that Google has partners that share its vision
says something about the shakiness of Microsoft's position. Acer,
Adobe, ASUS, Freescale, Hewlett-Packard, Lenovo, Qualcomm, Texas
Instruments, and Toshiba are all working with Google to help it
re-imagine the operating system. So too is Intel, as The
Register reports.
Google's decision to target the netbook market may help the
prospects of Chrome OS. Although Microsoft has made a concerted
effort to push Windows on netbooks to fend off low-cost Linux-based
challengers, Google may find it easier to compete in the netbook
market because access to cloud-based services and software is more
valuable on devices with constrained resources than on high-powered
desktop computers.
Steve Andriole, professor of information technologies at the
Villanova School of Business, observed in an e-mail that Google's
announcement comes at the right time, just as the industry is
moving to smaller, more mobile devices.
He believes that both pricing and Google's vendor relationships
will play major roles in determining the acceptance of Chrome
OS.
The fact that Chrome OS applications will be written using open
Web standards like JavaScript, HTML, and CSS might seem like a
liability because Web applications still aren't as capable as
applications written for specific devices and operating
systems.
But Google is betting that will change and is working to effect
the change on which its bet depends. Within a year or two, Web
browsers will gain access to peripherals, through an infrastructure
layer above the level of device drivers. Google's work with
standards bodies is making that happen.
According to Matt Womer, the "ubiquitous Web activity lead" for
W3C, the Web standards consortium, Web protocol groups are working
to codify ways to access peripherals like digital cameras, the
messaging stack, calendar data, and contact data.
There's now a JavaScript API that Web developers can use to get
GPS information from mobile phones using the phone's browser, he
points out. What that means is that device drivers for Chrome OS
will emerge as HTML 5 and related standards mature. Without these,
consumers would never use Chrome OS because devices like digital
cameras wouldn't be able to transfer data.
Womer said the standardization work could move quite quickly,
but won't be done until there's an actual implementation. That
would be Chrome OS.
In the future, as everyday objects will be addressed via online
queries—Chrome OS will be well positioned to help Google
organize even more of the world's information than the company
already handles. Chrome OS will sell itself to developers because,
as Google puts it, writing applications for the Web gives
"developers the largest user base of any platform."