Businesses and governments worldwide will spend 10.6 percent
less this year on information technology than in 2008, a market
research firm said, dramatically lowering its 2009 forecast.
Forrester Research also lowered its projection for IT spending
in the United States, saying it would fall by 5.1 percent this
year. Forrester in January had projected a 3 percent drop in global
IT spending and a 3.1 percent decrease in the U.S.
Forrester revised its forecast based on new data pointing to
large declines in spending on business technology during the first
quarter.
On a positive note, Forrester said it still expected IT spending
growth to resume in the U.S. in the fourth quarter and in the first
half of 2010 in other markets.
"While Q1 2009 saw a scary drop in purchases in the US tech
market, ironically that is good news for the long run and we expect
to see a stronger rebound sooner," Forrester analyst Andrew Bartels
said in a statement released earlier this week.
Forrester expects spending in all IT categories to fall.
Purchase of computer equipment is expected to fall 13.5 percent,
communications equipment, 12.4 percent; software, 8.2 percent; and
consulting and outsourcing services, 8.6 percent.
Forrester is not the only analyst firm to revise its
projections. Gartner in March lowered its 2009 forecast for global
IT spending to 3.8 percent less than last year, which the
researcher said was much worse than what was seen following the
dot-com bust in 2001. At that time, spending fell by 2.1
percent.
A major contributor to the spending drop is the decrease in the
global gross domestic product, or GDP, which is expected to fall by
1.2 percent this year after expanding by 2.3 percent last year,
Gartner said.