We’ve seen a phenomenon repeated with more frequency over
the past few years: enterprise IT leaders who’ve implemented
a technology for their organization are far more likely to ascribe
benefits to it than those who’ve avoided the technology. This
stands in stark opposition to the notion that non-implementers
either want easier, more fully-baked products, or that they simply
have no business need. While both of those are probably true,
non-implementers also aren’t buying the claimed benefits of
technology.
Our 2006 survey of nearly 600 IT professionals showed that the
majority—nearly 66 percent—either haven’t adopted
cellular data services or have used them sparingly. Of those
non-implementers, only 20 percent see a high personal productivity
benefit for cellular data, while 42 percent of implementers see a
significant benefit for personal productivity.
These opinions, along with a scant 11 percent of our respondents
citing widespread adoption, indicate that enterprise mobile
broadband faces a number of challenges. Indeed, the top four
perceived obstacles for mobile broadband deployment—cost,
security, compatibility and reliability—are directly related
to the technology itself, not its appropriateness for business.
These results are probably more indicative of the feelings of our
respondents toward 2G technologies since it’s fairly unlikely
that many have significant experience with 3G. Still, there’s
plenty of convincing to do before mobile broadband data is
technology de rigueur in the enterprise.
While carriers have cut prices over the past two years and often
provide business-oriented voice/data bundling arrangements that
reduce the effective cost of mobile broadband data services, the
infrastructure and spectrum investments required to deliver these
services dictate premium pricing models compared with other
broadband technologies. The long and short of it: high-quality
mobile broadband data services will get cheaper, but only
slightly.

The carriers also have made efforts to provide secure services;
however, most organizations can’t rely solely on the
carriers. Building additional layers of defense for mobile
applications is a daunting task; for many it can be a deal breaker.
The good news is that the problem hasn’t gone unnoticed.
Vendors have made advances in device management, mobile device
encryption, and other security fronts, which should help mollify
the security concern.
Concerns about standards are another matter. On this front, the
launch of the iPhone with its required AT&T service plan, and
the FCC’s 700-MHz spectrum action, with Google’s
attempts to introduce nonexclusive use provisions, have brought the
issue into focus. But while it has media attention, the issue of
interoperability won’t be solved soon. Those stymied by the
issue are likely to remain so in the foreseeable future—or
will be forced to consider noncellular-based technologies such as
Wi-Fi or WiMax. In our survey, there was marginal agreement that
these two technologies would eventually better meet mobility needs
than will 3G. So far, this seems unlikely, as neither technology
will be ubiquitous anytime soon.
Reliability may be less of an issue than most respondents believe.
While it’s certainly still true that getting a stable, clear
voice connection remains a crapshoot, it’s also true that
most mobile broadband applications have the ability to tolerate
lost packets or even lost and reinstated connections, permitting
services to slow but not break under less-than-ideal conditions.
However, to get this kind of reliability, applications must either
be built for mobile networks or use mobile middleware.
Adoption trends
Developing proprietary mobile applications isn’t for the
faint of heart (see ‘Mobile Apps rethought’). Mobile
middleware and other application development tools remain immature,
though they are improving rapidly. An even larger stumbling block
will be the need to support a variety of devices, probably over a
variety of networks. Because of these challenges, the primary
business application remains e-mail, with the BlackBerry Enterprise
Server as the leading product. The next few years should see a
flood of mobile applications from app vendors and (more
particularly) software-as-a-service providers who naturally see
mobility as an extension of their existing business model.
There are plenty
of architectural decisions to make when creating a mobile
application; however, the decision about choosing a mobile service
provider comes down to choosing a business partner. In some cases,
the carrier’s network coverage area or plans for its 3G
rollout will be a determining factor. But at least as often,
it’ll come down to the carrier’s reputation for
providing the services needed.
All of the incumbent vendors are betting on 3G—either
CDMA2000 or GSM/UMTS—as a platform for mobile broadband
services. Because these networks rely on licensed spectrum,
capacity is an ongoing concern. That means the upcoming FCC auction
will likely be hotly contested, with any ‘winner’ (many
could walk away with a piece of the pie) perceived as taking a lead
in the 3G market.
The threat to the existing carriers may come from the likes of
Clearwire and Sprint as they roll out their promised nationwide
WiMax networks. While the major players have an advantage in owning
the infrastructure on which to build their 3G networks, WiMax
vendors have a major champion in Intel and its efforts to embed
WiMax in all notebook computers as well as equipment on customer
premises.

For both 3G and WiMax, look for carriers to increasingly bundle
services along with their bandwidth contracts. The result will be a
stratification of offerings and price points, which make the job of
choosing the right carrier and services increasingly
challenging.